Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 112.833321 130.481274 151.476701 178.734003 213.862243 258.615066 3.217012e+02
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 88.253885 109.038576 136.478825 176.823996 237.485016 330.911142 4.997296e+02
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 74.525643 95.696524 125.449420 172.814072 252.010098 392.885164 7.089281e+02
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 66.091130 87.391647 118.815300 172.168995 269.890239 468.612887 1.029005e+03
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 60.152415 81.476440 114.235004 173.042618 290.053790 561.352655 1.551460e+03
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 54.109665 74.476209 106.630926 166.630688 293.378734 618.567733 2.110797e+03
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 51.597091 72.536025 106.823586 174.289606 329.544143 794.939390 4.057409e+03
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 47.424402 67.439180 100.876168 168.659545 332.636785 874.578302 6.158848e+03
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 44.862316 64.684885 98.617595 169.998831 354.101282 1049.475670 1.319201e+04
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 42.094750 61.308134 94.790751 167.199028 363.407435 1190.961939 2.982387e+04
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 41.633742 61.778583 98.079145 180.855415 428.449482 1760.955673 1.312275e+07
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 42.168377 64.013082 105.043578 205.193553 548.208634 3303.163787 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 39.740351 60.964696 101.610250 204.123297 580.343325 4441.916001 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 37.399755 57.912276 97.882175 201.745461 608.683564 6070.264951 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 35.142290 54.804360 93.629128 196.883819 623.260572 7962.942916 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 33.439191 52.589967 91.009844 196.102554 659.626332 12211.703360 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 32.038197 50.828470 89.153758 197.160666 709.428591 22162.104322 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 30.187911 48.059158 84.751071 189.406318 700.982758 28677.989496 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 29.575264 47.652479 85.630623 198.671848 816.270483 157629.325637 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 28.059636 45.349088 81.887189 191.857021 811.086590 337120.072453 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 27.143960 44.182190 80.688213 193.476261 876.842001 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 26.030425 42.543430 78.206738 190.092555 898.712866 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 25.990721 43.079435 81.015887 206.645316 1145.897308 NaN NaN